Is Bitcoin at the bottom? Not yet — here's what the data says.
We track three on-chain and price-based signals that have historically marked Bitcoin cycle bottoms — MVRV Z-Score, the Pi-Cycle Bottom indicator, and the CVDD floor — and update them once a day. Set a free alert and we'll email you the moment your own threshold is hit.
MVRV Z-Score
Approaching0.45
89% of the way to a bottom signal
Compares Bitcoin's market value to its on-chain realized value. Historically drops to zero or below at cycle bottoms.
Updated daily
Learn more →Pi-Cycle Bottom
ApproachingNot triggered
91% of the way to a bottom signal
Watches for the 150-day EMA crossing below the 471-day SMA — a crossover that has lined up with past cycle bottoms.
Updated daily
Learn more →CVDD Floor
Waiting$47,517
26% of the way to a bottom signal
A price floor derived from coin-age-weighted on-chain cost basis. Bitcoin's price has rarely closed below it.
Floor value updates daily — distance to it tracks live price
Learn more →Today's read
As of 2026-07-24, Bitcoin has not yet bottomed by these on-chain signals. MVRV Z-Score is 0.45, which is approaching its bottom-signal threshold. Pi-Cycle Bottom is not yet triggered — its 150-day EMA and 471-day SMA is approaching its bottom-signal threshold. Bitcoin is trading roughly 37.0% above its CVDD floor of $47,517, and that signal still has room to fall before signaling a bottom.
Get alerted the moment your threshold hits
Set your own thresholds for any of these three indicators — once unlocked, we'll watch them every day and email you the instant they trigger. No need to keep checking back yourself.
Set up an alert →Not financial advice. These indicators are for reference only — they have shifted from cycle to cycle and may behave differently in the ETF era. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.